Is Tinubu Losing the North? How He Won and Risks Losing His Key Base
The North played a decisive role in Bola Tinubu’s 2023 victory. Northern governors, former governors, and key allies backed him through the primaries and resisted policies aimed at weakening his chances. Influential Muslim scholars also mobilized support on religious grounds. Today, many of those same allies feel excluded. Cabinet appointments and project funding appear skewed toward the South. Insecurity persists, with little strategic response. Clerical backers have grown critical over issues of trust and fairness. In this analysis, Salihu Tanko Yakasai examines how alliances and religious support delivered Tinubu’s win in the North—and why those bonds are now under strain. He warns that maintaining a coalition is essential to secure future electoral success.
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