Betting on War: 93% Success Rate in Secret Military Strikes

One trader turned classified leaks into close to $1 million by betting hours before US and Israeli strikes on Iran. He predicted October 2024 and June 2025 operations, plus the attack that sparked the current war. His win rate: 93%. Israeli authorities later charged an IDF reservist and a civilian for using inside military intelligence to place those bets. Minutes before an Iran strike, an officer allegedly messaged “It’s starting” to a prediction market position. Paradoxically, the US Army has recommended platforms like Polymarket to its analysts for threat detection. A Federal Reserve paper also credits another platform with perfect interest rate forecasts since 2022. The government is both source and customer for these market signals.

Use The App To Win ₦1m

Stories are shared by community members. This article does not represent the official view of NaijaWorld — the author is solely responsible for its content.