2027 Election Forecast: Atiku’s Path to Victory in a Run-Off

Here’s a breakdown of my 2027 vote projection: • First round: Atiku 35%, Obi 30%, Tinubu 25%, others 10%. • No candidate hits the required spread, so a run-off follows. In that second round, the North unites behind Atiku. He edges out Obi 51% to 49%, as the South may split support or stay home. This assumes the NDC resolves internal rifts. If not, the run-off could be Atiku versus Tinubu – in which case, SE/SS voter apathy might hand victory to either of them. What do you think will really play out? Share your honest views.

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