Crowded Southern Field May Play into Atiku’s Hands
As the next presidential contest draws nearer, analysts warn that multiple Southern heavyweights could fracture the regional vote. With Bola Tinubu and Seyi Makinde vying in the Southwest, Peter Obi commanding the Southeast and Goodluck Jonathan holding sway in parts of the South-South, no single candidate may unify the South. A divided Southern base could open a path for Atiku Abubakar if he consolidates support in the North. Political strategists note that a strong Northern bloc combined with scattered Southern votes would keep him highly competitive, even without overwhelming turnout below the Niger River. Debates are already underway about forging alliances among Southern leaders to avoid past pitfalls when opposition fragmentation benefited a single frontrunner.
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