Why APC Dominated Recent Off-Season Polls in Ekiti, Kano and Kebbi
Many voters now back the person more than the party. Before the 2023 election, analysts laughed at the Labour Party’s poor off-season showing. They said Peter Obi wouldn’t even get a thousand votes. Today, winning depends on how close candidates are to their communities. If the APC candidate enjoys local support, party labels matter less. Most young Nigerians focus on the presidency, not senatorial or state contests. Off-season polls often favor the ruling party. Turnout is low and driven by party members who have the resources and influence to mobilize voters. Many Nigerians don’t even know these elections are happening. Everyone waits for the general polls in 2027. These factors explain APC’s success in Ekiti, Kano and Kebbi off-season contests.
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