Kwankwaso’s Vote Share: Kano Stronghold, Not Northern Deliverer

An Obidient claim that Kwankwaso would deliver massive northern votes sounds persuasive until we examine the 2023 figures. Of his 1,496,687 votes nationally, 997,279—or two-thirds—came from Kano alone. Outside Kano, his support collapsed. Across the North-West minus Kano, he polled just 270,971 votes. The North-East and North-Central added only 126,343 and 60,056 votes respectively. If Kwankwaso couldn’t muster broad northern support as a presidential candidate, can he suddenly unlock those same votes for Peter Obi? Politics demands realistic counting, not wishful thinking. Kano remains a key prize. But a Kano colossus does not equal Northern conquest.

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