Why We Believe Tinubu Has No Pathway to Victory in 2027

We argued earlier that Tinubu has no realistic route to win the 2027 election, even if he attempts to rig the results. Now his camp has resorted to dirty tactics by trying to deregister key opposition parties just before the vote. The APC knows this strategy won’t succeed. Candidates like Obi, Kwankwaso, and Atiku will still contest. Tinubu has no clear source of votes, and he can’t sweep any state in the South West. His court battles are just a psychological ploy. No party will be removed before the election, and no amount of legal pressure will change that outcome.

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